Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 57.475746 65.275568 73.333328 82.248578 91.806001 101.715785 112.738934
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 44.368095 55.242561 67.079773 80.794200 96.122922 112.614749 131.586687
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 37.319007 49.851311 64.033012 81.005946 100.517244 122.016519 147.273647
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 32.015747 45.629194 61.580968 81.214475 104.318829 130.274299 161.276230
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 28.085547 42.509515 59.954420 81.958355 108.372514 138.526072 175.031156
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 24.047947 38.783768 57.197248 80.997180 110.124131 143.884831 185.274211
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 21.634166 36.880301 56.470511 82.308631 114.426969 152.107151 198.757581
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 19.707472 35.416445 56.133780 83.964435 119.042374 160.631497 212.560068
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 17.082565 32.707971 53.955665 83.103201 120.414805 165.169489 221.568581
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 14.372436 29.583141 50.983966 81.011988 120.083240 167.516099 227.856537
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 13.664965 29.395269 51.982013 84.092504 126.264049 177.808518 243.724656
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 12.740495 28.770589 52.300442 86.220294 131.203770 186.571892 257.760894
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 10.950776 26.591289 50.300827 85.163614 132.031687 190.281322 265.731057
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 9.339818 24.517766 48.313319 84.011157 132.654442 193.685994 273.306811
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 8.235984 23.190021 47.335325 84.180246 134.955319 199.160557 283.412119
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 7.262973 21.975862 46.442026 84.400646 137.277294 204.635316 293.509590
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 6.503330 21.069263 45.960879 85.161458 140.293317 210.981252 304.695977
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 5.493896 19.511686 44.335126 84.177269 140.884649 214.177132 311.915386
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 5.000637 18.964745 44.312151 85.520267 144.639666 221.453564 324.280712
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 4.608682 18.586004 44.537727 87.215659 148.875842 229.362967 337.468448
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 3.865281 17.272014 43.093352 86.333873 149.494409 232.531169 344.634773
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 3.049884 15.592822 40.889102 84.192417 148.273805 233.231884 348.617614
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 2.977304 15.833788 42.103232 87.346777 154.537675 243.820999 365.276428